South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd36cf4b56d8c48ce4b99b0ed77c12f05a298497f9c867311b3a7b2aa5c7f64f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 4,891$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.97 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 4,173$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.92 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,696$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 53c | 1,835$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,458$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 536.32$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.62 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 80c | 436.87$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 79c | 428.24$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.31 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 21c | 382.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 53c | 260.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…1e03backed Over | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 78c | 155$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 118.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 52c | 85.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 62c | 68.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 68.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 49c | 57.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…a653backed Under | 60c | 51.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 49.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 44c | 45.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 57c | 35.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 32.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 59c | 18.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Atlante FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Deportivo Toluca FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)Atlante FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)Atlante FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.