South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a5b57db78822bf41a5d96f19d9848a2d0f65a6b4e2df13a730414d1ed0b1275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 56c | 4,008$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.03 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 2,414$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,440$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.95 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 78c | 1,109$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 57c | 922.95$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.25 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 528.59$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 55c | 444.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.47 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 378.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 312.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 44c | 255$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 223$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 56c | 223$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 168.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 126.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 126.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 56c | 122.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 119.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 62c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 52c | 52.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 52c | 47.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Yes | 30c | 35.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 45c | 25.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Atlante FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Deportivo Toluca FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)Atlante FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)Atlante FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.