CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd43a999ee3ee3d08638b52c64ee3496397bb4c6f79b3acfcaafa7648c6aaa10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 449.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 28c | 317.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 307.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 67c | 299.68$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked FOKUS | 50c | 288.24$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed FOKUS | 41c | 275.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 239.66$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 197.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked FOKUS | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed FOKUS | 57c | 178.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 155.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Gentle Mates | 74c | 150.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked FOKUS | 52c | 136.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed FOKUS | 46c | 118.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FOKUS | 26c | 112.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…8e0abacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed FOKUS | 28c | 107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 102.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Gentle Mates | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed FOKUS | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FOKUS | 20c | 97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed FOKUS | 25c | 89.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 80.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS | 27c | 79.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked FOKUS | 26c | 75.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 75.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked FOKUS | 54c | 74.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…40c4backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 68.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…d157backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 64.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…f0f9backed FOKUS | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed FOKUS | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed FOKUS | 34c | 57.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked FOKUS | 62c | 50.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked FOKUS | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FOKUS | 38c | 42.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 37.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FOKUS | 32c | 37.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed FOKUS | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed FOKUS | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…b2e6backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 26.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked FOKUS | 55c | 25.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 24.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…62b2backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed FOKUS | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…c21ebacked FOKUS | 59c | 17.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.