CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd83c0f743b991c03295946bb6bcee9a8102a31bea85d9c67e8e21cef64362ea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed FOKUS | 39c | 1,521$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.19 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…d9e6backed FOKUS | 55c | 990.23$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Gentle Mates | 36c | 725.02$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 707.03$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.75 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 575.4$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.35 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4f…c208backed FOKUS | 48c | 480$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 446.19$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 435.33$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Gentle Mates | 39c | 333.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed FOKUS | 24c | 255.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked FOKUS | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed FOKUS | 63c | 187.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 183.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 173.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Gentle Mates | 65c | 169.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…cafcbacked Gentle Mates | 29c | 163.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…5fafbacked Gentle Mates | 33c | 136.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FOKUS | 22c | 107.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FOKUS | 21c | 102.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed FOKUS | 51c | 89.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 86.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 86.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked FOKUS | 64c | 80.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Gentle Mates | 76c | 76.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed FOKUS | 47c | 74.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 74.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 72.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Gentle Mates | 29c | 59.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FOKUS | 18c | 58.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 54.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 52.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 46.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 42.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed FOKUS | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 423 | 46.3%196 W · 227 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 29.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed FOKUS | 68c | 15.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked FOKUS | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.