Tennis · resolved market
Iasi: Titouan Droguet vs Mathys Erhard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd832d4de7fae54c3b1f854f50088856b6c8bb74c479b0b57e2dd87616d65422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Titouan Droguetof Titouan Droguet, Mathys Erhard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mathys Erhard | 13c | 3,439$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.64 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…4917backed Mathys Erhard | 17c | 3,043$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.27 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Titouan Droguet | 80c | 2,470$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Titouan Droguet | 79c | 1,209$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mathys Erhard | 20c | 905.56$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.89 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Mathys Erhard | 5c | 830.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed Mathys Erhard | 2c | 803.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mathys Erhard | 23c | 629.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mathys Erhard | 23c | 599.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Mathys Erhard | 21c | 546.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mathys Erhard | 24c | 499.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mathys Erhard | 23c | 405.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Titouan Droguet | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Mathys Erhard | 19c | 398.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Titouan Droguet | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Mathys Erhard | 27c | 309.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Mathys Erhard | 9c | 262$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Mathys Erhard | 26c | 148.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Titouan Droguet | 75c | 132.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Titouan Droguet | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mathys Erhard | 12c | 121.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Mathys Erhard | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Mathys Erhard | 26c | 115.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Mathys Erhard | 16c | 106.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Mathys Erhard | 31c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Titouan Droguet | 76c | 97.91$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mathys Erhard | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mathys Erhard | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Mathys Erhard | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Titouan Droguet | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mathys Erhard | 23c | 56.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mathys Erhard | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Titouan Droguet | 76c | 37.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Titouan Droguet | 76c | 36.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Titouan Droguet | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Titouan Droguet | 74c | 28.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Titouan Droguet | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Titouan Droguet | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Titouan Droguet | 76c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Titouan Droguet | 77c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iasi: Titouan Droguet vs Mathys Erhardthis page
- Droguet vs. Erhard: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Droguet vs ErhardDroguet won
- Set 2 Winner: Droguet vs ErhardDroguet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.