MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd919be97241393f94c0aee29dfa12b1c2a15ae1794a6716b401d86a901874be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked LG Twins | 63c | 683.47$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.64 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…a415backed LG Twins | 61c | 573.66$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked LG Twins | 49c | 556$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.82 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 553.74$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 35c | 467$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.74 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 62c | 442$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 58c | 388.12$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.06 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 352.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed LG Twins | 30c | 350.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.01 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 67c | 245.63$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 62c | 183.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Kiwoom Heroes | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kiwoom Heroes | 69c | 146.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed LG Twins | 33c | 134$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kiwoom Heroes | 72c | 133.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kiwoom Heroes | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 110.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 61c | 100.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Kiwoom Heroes | 65c | 97.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kiwoom Heroes | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed LG Twins | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 38c | 88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Kiwoom Heroes | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LG Twins | 37c | 73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 68c | 72.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 40c | 68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 59.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…3f9fbacked LG Twins | 28c | 53.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked LG Twins | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 49.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 70c | 49.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed LG Twins | 38c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…8626backed LG Twins | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…1d83backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…592ebacked LG Twins | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…89a3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d7…d5a0backed LG Twins | 60c | 23.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.