Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce15dd181ad1d0b9f76cfbca4af743c222277924102500a90ff78a8d3a988a37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Astini+5, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,252 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 5,095$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.74 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Astini+5 | 78c | 4,052$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.41 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx | 29c | 3,049$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Lynx | 43c | 2,203$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.48 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Lynx | 23c | 2,169$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.51 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Astini+5 | 43c | 2,014$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.9 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Team Lynx | 63c | 1,510$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.8 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Astini+5 | 64c | 1,445$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.74 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astini+5 | 66c | 1,343$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.07 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 1,069$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.72 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Team Lynx | 28c | 1,000$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.05 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Astini+5 | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Astini+5 | 61c | 774.6$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.33 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Team Lynx | 36c | 770.16$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.31 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…31e5backed Astini+5 | 74c | 750$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Astini+5 | 64c | 691.28$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.52 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Astini+5 | 72c | 630.65$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.65 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 577.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Astini+5 | 63c | 574.75$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.09 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Lynx | 37c | 563.66$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.31 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx | 31c | 500.79$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.03 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Lynx | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx | 35c | 498.74$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Lynx | 72c | 475.84$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked Astini+5 | 31c | 474.19$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Astini+5 | 66c | 450$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astini+5 | 59c | 413.42$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Lynx | 36c | 405.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.46 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astini+5 | 58c | 394.84$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40d…20a1backed Astini+5 | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Astini+5 | 54c | 373.18$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Astini+5 | 44c | 360$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Astini+5 | 53c | 320$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Astini+5 | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Astini+5 | 55c | 288.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Astini+5 | 39c | 261.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Lynx | 42c | 252.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.58 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Lynx | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Astini+5 | 70c | 214.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Astini+5 | 53c | 212.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Astini+5 | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Team Lynx | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Astini+5 | 53c | 189.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Astini+5 | 60c | 183.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Team Lynx | 55c | 181.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Lynx | 36c | 160$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 158$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Astini+5 | 64c | 156.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Astini+5 | 64c | 156.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Astini+5 | 76c | 151.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Lynx | 36c | 148.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Astini+5 | 65c | 147$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed Astini+5 | 65c | 144.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Astini+5 | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed Astini+5 | 36c | 136.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed Astini+5 | 62c | 132.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Astini+5 | 64c | 127.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astini+5 | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Astini+5 | 63c | 119.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Astini+5 | 51c | 117.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Team Lynx | 45c | 111.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Team Lynx | 39c | 111$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…31e4backed Astini+5 | 61c | 104.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Astini+5 | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Astini+5 | 66c | 94.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Lynx | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…22d0backed Astini+5 | 60c | 86.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Lynx | 45c | 86.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Astini+5 | 70c | 84.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Team Lynx | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Lynx | 36c | 78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Lynx | 36c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Team Lynx | 67c | 69.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Astini+5 | 61c | 65.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Astini+5 | 32c | 64.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Astini+5 | 63c | 61.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Lynx | 24c | 58.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Astini+5 | 62c | 56.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Astini+5 | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…a364backed Team Lynx | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Astini+5 | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Astini+5 | 63c | 50.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Astini+5 | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Team Lynx | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Lynx | 41c | 49.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…0910backed Astini+5 | 63c | 47.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Astini+5 | 57c | 45.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Astini+5 | 55c | 43.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Astini+5 | 63c | 43.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Team Lynx | 36c | 41.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Astini+5 | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Astini+5 | 67c | 40.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Astini+5 | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Astini+5 | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Astini+5 | 64c | 37.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c8…9290backed Astini+5 | 62c | 36.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Astini+5 | 77c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Astini+5 | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 34.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Astini+5 vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Astini+5 vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerAstini+5 won
- Dota 2: Astini+5 vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game Handicap: Astini+5 (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.