Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce2da1c7a37f2611846b36823507a2e61d32ce56cecdeffbedeb4da26a680d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perricardof Agut, Perricard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Agut | 37c | 5,461$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Agut | 2c | 4,975$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Agut | 1c | 3,953$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Agut | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Perricard | 64c | 2,379$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.85 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Perricard | 74c | 2,021$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.48 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Perricard | 70c | 1,853$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.9 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Agut | 7c | 1,560$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Agut | 4c | 1,510$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Agut | 2c | 1,307$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Agut | 5c | 1,094$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Agut | 31c | 993.02$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Agut | 30c | 949.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.5 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Perricard | 70c | 873.31$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.02 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Agut | 12c | 839$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Perricard | 68c | 559.75$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.75 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Agut | 30c | 530.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Perricard | 68c | 515$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Perricard | 69c | 500$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Perricard | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Agut | 33c | 457.49$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Perricard | 69c | 396.96$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Perricard | 75c | 389.11$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Agut | 23c | 372.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Agut | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Agut | 30c | 302.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Perricard | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Perricard | 68c | 277.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Agut | 28c | 255.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Perricard | 67c | 222.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Perricard | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Perricard | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Perricard | 70c | 149.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4237…8700backed Agut | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…20c0backed Perricard | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Perricard | 77c | 113.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Agut | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Agut | 12c | 108.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Agut | 29c | 103.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Perricard | 70c | 102$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Agut | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Agut | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Agut | 31c | 97.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Perricard | 69c | 91.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Perricard | 71c | 91.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Perricard | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Agut | 34c | 89.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Perricard | 69c | 87.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Agut | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Agut | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Perricard | 69c | 71.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Perricard | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Perricard | 70c | 66.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Perricard | 70c | 65.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Perricard | 69c | 61.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Perricard | 68c | 60.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c9c0backed Perricard | 62c | 60.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Perricard | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Perricard | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Perricard | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Agut | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Perricard | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Perricard | 73c | 34.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…196bbacked Perricard | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…526fbacked Perricard | 80c | 26.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Perricard | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Perricard | 72c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardthis page
- Agut vs. Perricard: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Agut vs. Perricard: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Agut vs. Perricard: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Agut vs. Perricard: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Agut vs PerricardPerricard won
- Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Agut (+1.5)Perricard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.