Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos 2: Ioannis Xilas vs Alex Rybakov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce40c1fa1e35025c2f40c302de8b492f822908170e378732164b54641f6f2510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Rybakovof Ioannis Xilas, Alex Rybakov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,063 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ioannis Xilas | 26c | 1,704$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.77 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alex Rybakov | 47c | 1,696$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.15 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Alex Rybakov | 41c | 1,482$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.08 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ioannis Xilas | 30c | 1,269$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.25 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Ioannis Xilas | 50c | 1,001$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Alex Rybakov | 43c | 973.52$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.56 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ioannis Xilas | 38c | 943.6$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.22 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Ioannis Xilas | 42c | 668.28$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.71 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Alex Rybakov | 60c | 500.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.17 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ioannis Xilas | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Ioannis Xilas | 59c | 499.97$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Alex Rybakov | 41c | 431$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.34 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ioannis Xilas | 58c | 377$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Ioannis Xilas | 21c | 307.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alex Rybakov | 49c | 228.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ioannis Xilas | 44c | 208.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alex Rybakov | 60c | 189.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Alex Rybakov | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Ioannis Xilas | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ioannis Xilas | 57c | 160.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Rybakov | 53c | 155.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Ioannis Xilas | 59c | 151.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Ioannis Xilas | 44c | 145.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Ioannis Xilas | 60c | 134.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ioannis Xilas | 59c | 126$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Alex Rybakov | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Alex Rybakov | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alex Rybakov | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Ioannis Xilas | 20c | 101.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Ioannis Xilas | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Alex Rybakov | 41c | 94.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Rybakov | 41c | 93.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Alex Rybakov | 38c | 93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Alex Rybakov | 34c | 89.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ioannis Xilas | 58c | 87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Ioannis Xilas | 21c | 84.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ioannis Xilas | 40c | 83.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Ioannis Xilas | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Alex Rybakov | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Alex Rybakov | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alex Rybakov | 76c | 64.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…1871backed Alex Rybakov | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51a…bd0cbacked Alex Rybakov | 57c | 61.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Ioannis Xilas | 43c | 57.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ioannis Xilas | 45c | 56.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Alex Rybakov | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ioannis Xilas | 34c | 54.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alex Rybakov | 74c | 52.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alex Rybakov | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Alex Rybakov | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Ioannis Xilas | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ioannis Xilas | 40c | 45.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Alex Rybakov | 38c | 44.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Ioannis Xilas | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alex Rybakov | 39c | 39.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Alex Rybakov | 41c | 36.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Ioannis Xilas | 32c | 35.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Alex Rybakov | 51c | 35.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Alex Rybakov | 41c | 34.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Ioannis Xilas | 43c | 34.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Ioannis Xilas | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Ioannis Xilas | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ioannis Xilas | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Alex Rybakov | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 175 | 49.7%87 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Alex Rybakov | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Alex Rybakov | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos 2: Ioannis Xilas vs Alex Rybakovthis page
- Xilas vs. Rybakov: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.