MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce96e98a33e8d2c6abba2c0e51e8eba64c72dfbc1ddafb7a24101d1dd39b798a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Tampa Bay Rays, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8377…4198backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 9,246$5,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.43 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 7,822$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.77 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,200$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.71 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,053$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.42 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 999.98$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 846.22$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.96 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…feb1backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…dc7abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 517.86$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 385$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…96ecbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 338.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.49 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…89babacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 303.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 204.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 202.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…a661backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 148$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 65.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 64.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 45.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 43.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 38.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.