Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcedc4e261f82303ea3875ae0f12f557e470211087f1e810fcf2563cacd7a6cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc84…a0d2backed Yes | 1c | 6,276$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,212.83 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 6c | 582.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.17 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed Yes | 9c | 566.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.48 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 21c | 535.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.38 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 4c | 431.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 6c | 317.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.94 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed Yes | 31c | 316.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 18c | 308.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 48c | 297.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 12c | 228.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 24c | 215.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 10c | 159.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 65c | 158.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 22c | 146.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 76c | 144.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 13c | 142.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked Yes | 15c | 124.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 289 | 46%133 W · 156 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 74c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 12c | 101$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 41c | 98.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 96.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 70c | 93.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 91.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 48c | 90.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 75c | 83.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 25c | 82.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 67c | 75.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 73c | 72.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 26c | 65.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 35c | 61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 60.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 69c | 60.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…6cb0backed Yes | 26c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 76c | 52.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 51.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…68ffbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 62c | 47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed No | 53c | 40.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 38.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 38c | 34.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 37c | 32.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked No | 79c | 26.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 63c | 23.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 75c | 21.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 68c | 21.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 63c | 20.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 68c | 17.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.