MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf171f4fe848a12ea956b13f49b347502da5776c13aa870efc5227fb06b2da73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 28,327$11,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,529.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 22,112$7,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,671.95 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 21,910$13,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,060.47 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 19,243$11,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,106.87 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 7,864$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.53 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 2,848$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.31 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,499$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.79 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 1,854$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.96 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,456$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colorado Rockies | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 985$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.7 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 837.39$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 555$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 545.85$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 463.78$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Colorado Rockies | 28c | 392.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…95efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 205.46$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colorado Rockies | 12c | 136.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 95.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e0…8b20backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 74.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…9c51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 65.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Colorado Rockies | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…ae49backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 35.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 22.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.