TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Tampa Bay Rays, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,468 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves62c5,371$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.381,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Atlanta Braves62c3,736$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.2114953%79 W · 70 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Tampa Bay Rays39c3,011$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.7240846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Tampa Bay Rays40c2,440$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97611256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tampa Bay Rays37c2,427$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.0746547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Atlanta Braves64c2,345$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.5326245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Tampa Bay Rays37c1,365$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Tampa Bay Rays37c665.78$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9717050%85 W · 85 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Tampa Bay Rays39c599.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23435245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Atlanta Braves66c553.37$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.452657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Tampa Bay Rays38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011134.2%38 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Atlanta Braves62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Atlanta Braves62c477$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.267634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Tampa Bay Rays37c457.65$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.851,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Tampa Bay Rays39c452.51$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.281,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Tampa Bay Rays38c346.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Atlanta Braves61c332$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.485248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tampa Bay Rays31c304.52$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.192,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Tampa Bay Rays39c272.55$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2961352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays38c262.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays37c236$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.321,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9357…407ebacked Atlanta Braves63c211.06$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10bf…313abacked Tampa Bay Rays40c202.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Tampa Bay Rays38c200.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8514945%67 W · 82 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tampa Bay Rays38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Tampa Bay Rays28c193$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9710353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Tampa Bay Rays37c189.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3968846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Tampa Bay Rays38c176.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Atlanta Braves60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.84362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Tampa Bay Rays37c162.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6940351.4%207 W · 196 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Atlanta Braves62c161$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.186750.7%34 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Atlanta Braves70c147.03$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6439344.3%174 W · 219 L-22.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tampa Bay Rays27c144.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7455541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Atlanta Braves62c123$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.968644.2%38 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Atlanta Braves61c119.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8450655.3%280 W · 226 L+29.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Tampa Bay Rays39c119$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9120548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Tampa Bay Rays40c113.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8247345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58fe…dc22backed Tampa Bay Rays39c112.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays37c107.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.331,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Atlanta Braves64c105$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.819848.5%96 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Tampa Bay Rays37c104.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.73348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Tampa Bay Rays12c104$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.691346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Tampa Bay Rays38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Tampa Bay Rays38c98.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.597146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tampa Bay Rays35c91.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1384122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays29c79.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.568,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Atlanta Braves48c78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.569751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Tampa Bay Rays39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018048.3%87 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Atlanta Braves78c65.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.761947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Tampa Bay Rays20c64.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.582429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Atlanta Braves61c63.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5895041.5%394 W · 556 L-48.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x877e…3a54backed Tampa Bay Rays38c63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Tampa Bay Rays38c62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5650949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Tampa Bay Rays52c58.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.213745.9%17 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Atlanta Braves62c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.98060%48 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x304e…9ce6backed Atlanta Braves64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Tampa Bay Rays36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+78.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb991…a963backed Tampa Bay Rays40c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays37c43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9134164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays37c42.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7467250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Tampa Bay Rays40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Tampa Bay Rays28c39.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Tampa Bay Rays38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Tampa Bay Rays29c39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49241.3%38 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Tampa Bay Rays37c38.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3867453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79bd…02afbacked Atlanta Braves62c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd540…9c84backed Atlanta Braves57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Atlanta Braves77c34.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.948154.3%44 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dea…3f3dbacked Atlanta Braves59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Tampa Bay Rays37c32.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Atlanta Braves63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves62c28.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.732,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1029…9b36backed Tampa Bay Rays39c28.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…0b88backed Tampa Bay Rays37c27.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca93…ed6dbacked Atlanta Braves62c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Atlanta Braves62c26.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.181,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe1…e700backed Atlanta Braves61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked Atlanta Braves63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5248…eca8backed Atlanta Braves62c23.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Atlanta Braves63c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8335137%130 W · 221 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Atlanta Braves69c20.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6af…532dbacked Atlanta Braves53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacf9…c19fbacked Atlanta Braves61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Atlanta Braves61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.810541%43 W · 62 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Atlanta Braves60c17.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Atlanta Braves69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.