CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcff7aa8f0e0ca6a4c200f2ed08651248ca75bbfb3222a521369cdad338acb3b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Just Players, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Just Players | 60c | 1,786$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.81 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Just Players | 64c | 1,106$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed SAW | 46c | 1,061$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Just Players | 72c | 637.51$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW | 30c | 572.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed SAW | 47c | 555$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Just Players | 65c | 474.19$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed SAW | 36c | 409$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…cb50backed SAW | 50c | 399.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked SAW | 43c | 391.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Just Players | 61c | 323.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed SAW | 27c | 309.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SAW | 26c | 306$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed SAW | 25c | 301.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed SAW | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SAW | 28c | 297.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SAW | 9c | 277.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 65c | 240$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SAW | 47c | 233.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed SAW | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 79c | 188.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Just Players | 77c | 182.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SAW | 30c | 172.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Just Players | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW | 13c | 148.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed SAW | 17c | 142.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SAW | 36c | 107$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed SAW | 19c | 103.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SAW | 29c | 101.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SAW | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked SAW | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Just Players | 73c | 94.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Just Players | 72c | 93.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SAW | 20c | 83.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Just Players | 68c | 77.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SAW | 24c | 74.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Just Players | 74c | 74.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Just Players | 63c | 51.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SAW | 36c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Just Players | 69c | 49.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Just Players | 61c | 49.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed SAW | 27c | 39.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Just Players | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Just Players | 73c | 27.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Just Players | 54c | 23.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Just Players | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Just Players | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Just Players | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Just Players | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW won
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
- Map Handicap: Just Players (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5)SAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.