Tennis · resolved market
Miyazaki: Yuta Shimizu vs Andre Ilagan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0049b56a127a230a925968ca024ba782c825eacfc793abd27c9aff1dbb9dcc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andre Ilaganof Yuta Shimizu, Andre Ilagan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Andre Ilagan | 67c | 2,345$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.41 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…dd32backed Yuta Shimizu | 40c | 2,200$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 1,275$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.87 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Andre Ilagan | 65c | 1,208$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.63 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yuta Shimizu | 13c | 1,165$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yuta Shimizu | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yuta Shimizu | 22c | 834.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andre Ilagan | 44c | 826.3$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.79 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…06dcbacked Yuta Shimizu | 41c | 809.98$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.83 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Andre Ilagan | 68c | 500.96$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yuta Shimizu | 27c | 498.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Andre Ilagan | 47c | 490.2$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.59 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Andre Ilagan | 73c | 411.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yuta Shimizu | 5c | 403.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yuta Shimizu | 47c | 394.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 340.73$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yuta Shimizu | 25c | 321.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Andre Ilagan | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yuta Shimizu | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Andre Ilagan | 44c | 176.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andre Ilagan | 62c | 166.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Andre Ilagan | 59c | 166.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yuta Shimizu | 26c | 165.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Andre Ilagan | 65c | 162$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…614cbacked Andre Ilagan | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 140.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Andre Ilagan | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 226 | 46%104 W · 122 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…a4b1backed Andre Ilagan | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Andre Ilagan | 45c | 122.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Andre Ilagan | 48c | 119.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yuta Shimizu | 41c | 117.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Andre Ilagan | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb89…ec39backed Andre Ilagan | 47c | 106.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Andre Ilagan | 43c | 104.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Andre Ilagan | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Yuta Shimizu | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Andre Ilagan | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Andre Ilagan | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…b808backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…5df4backed Yuta Shimizu | 50c | 99.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7f…85c3backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Yuta Shimizu | 27c | 89.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Andre Ilagan | 71c | 85.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Andre Ilagan | 46c | 83.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yuta Shimizu | 39c | 82.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Yuta Shimizu | 58c | 75.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…4629backed Andre Ilagan | 41c | 63.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96f…f533backed Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Andre Ilagan | 47c | 58.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 56.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Andre Ilagan | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Andre Ilagan | 74c | 53.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yuta Shimizu | 53c | 53.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Andre Ilagan | 55c | 53.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andre Ilagan | 75c | 51.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Andre Ilagan | 50c | 51.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Andre Ilagan | 61c | 43.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Andre Ilagan | 45c | 43.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Andre Ilagan | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…5cccbacked Andre Ilagan | 47c | 31.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Yuta Shimizu | 50c | 31.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…4d93backed Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Andre Ilagan | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yuta Shimizu | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc64backed Yuta Shimizu | 60c | 25.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Andre Ilagan | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Andre Ilagan | 46c | 22.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Andre Ilagan | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 18.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Andre Ilagan | 65c | 15.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Andre Ilagan | 70c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked Andre Ilagan | 75c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Andre Ilagan | 78c | 14.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 437 | 52.2%228 W · 209 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.