Champions League · resolved market
Bayern Munich vs. Boca Juniors: Both teams to score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd06855d6e13362a89a78b8ffce46a256ce6e71315365c09828b78d7da05e2efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 51c | 20,002$10,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800.99 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 49c | 11,803$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775.05 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 48c | 2,604$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.9 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 49c | 1,570$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.29 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 52c | 1,418$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.48 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 54c | 1,200$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 45c | 1,036$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…dd07backed Yes | 52c | 990$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…bbc9backed No | 48c | 905$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…b91abacked No | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e1…0492backed Yes | 52c | 565$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…d55dbacked Yes | 52c | 435$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…24d5backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 51c | 279.36$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…c713backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 50c | 149.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…5622backed No | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…51a1backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 51c | 34.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73ecbacked Yes | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.