Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Davis Aggies vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd09ee47484639a271ccfd4033b623a6f07b041cc33326cbd6b738b88efa3c3c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Davis Aggiesof UC Davis Aggies, Bakersfield Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc442…b7e5backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 4c | 1,098$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -80%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Davis Aggies | 72c | 928.59$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 36c | 839.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 26c | 666.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 19c | 563.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Davis Aggies | 75c | 522.47$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 29c | 471.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UC Davis Aggies | 76c | 320.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda02…fd6fbacked UC Davis Aggies | 55c | 282.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed UC Davis Aggies | 55c | 245$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 63c | 159.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 21c | 107.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 15c | 71.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Davis Aggies | 67c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed UC Davis Aggies | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed UC Davis Aggies | 70c | 28.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 26.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed UC Davis Aggies | 64c | 22.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Davis Aggies | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…127bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 65c | 17.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Davis Aggies vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersthis page
- UC Davis Aggies vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.