Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a9235a48cdf69e12071d91511434e51a8d5285136ed865e893e780a92fd979
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aleksandar Vukicof James Duckworth, Aleksandar Vukic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 66c | 4,901$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.85 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed James Duckworth | 20c | 4,800$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Aleksandar Vukic | 68c | 1,052$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.41 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked James Duckworth | 36c | 972.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked James Duckworth | 11c | 918.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Aleksandar Vukic | 35c | 853.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.46 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aleksandar Vukic | 59c | 575.57$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…2cc0backed Aleksandar Vukic | 70c | 428.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed James Duckworth | 39c | 320.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked James Duckworth | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Aleksandar Vukic | 71c | 306.01$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed James Duckworth | 40c | 246.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aleksandar Vukic | 51c | 215.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Aleksandar Vukic | 66c | 191.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed James Duckworth | 37c | 178.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed James Duckworth | 51c | 174.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked James Duckworth | 64c | 154.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed James Duckworth | 67c | 147.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked James Duckworth | 40c | 135.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed James Duckworth | 66c | 134.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed James Duckworth | 41c | 129.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed James Duckworth | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1527…120ebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Aleksandar Vukic | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed James Duckworth | 40c | 103.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed James Duckworth | 67c | 74.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed James Duckworth | 66c | 61.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Aleksandar Vukic | 70c | 59.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Aleksandar Vukic | 70c | 57.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked James Duckworth | 65c | 48.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed James Duckworth | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Aleksandar Vukic | 69c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed James Duckworth | 64c | 34.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 45c | 26.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Aleksandar Vukic | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed James Duckworth | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 61c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.