Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Madison Brengle vs Alexandra Vagramov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ae65cdc525f5b351c0952308789b621b0e77c43b99fa0d14c67d041beb19b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Brengleof Madison Brengle, Alexandra Vagramov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Alexandra Vagramov | 17c | 84,001$14,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,389.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Alexandra Vagramov | 24c | 46,190$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alexandra Vagramov | 20c | 22,670$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,576.53 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alexandra Vagramov | 12c | 15,613$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.09 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Alexandra Vagramov | 9c | 5,641$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.84 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Alexandra Vagramov | 9c | 3,357$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 16c | 2,090$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.88 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Alexandra Vagramov | 12c | 1,561$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Alexandra Vagramov | 22c | 1,389$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b26ebacked Alexandra Vagramov | 8c | 1,189$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…6f67backed Alexandra Vagramov | 16c | 1,113$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Alexandra Vagramov | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Alexandra Vagramov | 11c | 762.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Alexandra Vagramov | 14c | 707.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…ad81backed Alexandra Vagramov | 6c | 581.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…3f07backed Alexandra Vagramov | 7c | 555.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Alexandra Vagramov | 12c | 463.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alexandra Vagramov | 12c | 462.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Alexandra Vagramov | 11c | 399.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Madison Brengle | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alexandra Vagramov | 4c | 361.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 17c | 349.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Alexandra Vagramov | 10c | 301$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Alexandra Vagramov | 8c | 277.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alexandra Vagramov | 15c | 273.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Alexandra Vagramov | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Alexandra Vagramov | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alexandra Vagramov | 15c | 242.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alexandra Vagramov | 10c | 205$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 13c | 192.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alexandra Vagramov | 16c | 166.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Alexandra Vagramov | 20c | 132.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Alexandra Vagramov | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Alexandra Vagramov | 25c | 113.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Alexandra Vagramov | 12c | 110.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Alexandra Vagramov | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…6bedbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 20c | 102.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Alexandra Vagramov | 14c | 86.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Alexandra Vagramov | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Alexandra Vagramov | 20c | 63.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Alexandra Vagramov | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 201 | 28.4%57 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Madison Brengle | 78c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…880abacked Madison Brengle | 79c | 31.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Madison Brengle | 80c | 18.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.