Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c9fa5dff9b69b55f4d665e0ad25a3b060c99a6ee58b407d1d0212e87cfcfa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,143 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb447…62ebbacked No | 2c | 1,211$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 12c | 775.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 368.51$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…1f10backed Yes | 62c | 325.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 70 | 70%49 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Yes | 46c | 308.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 70c | 301.41$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 23c | 298.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 7c | 274.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 54c | 257.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 60c | 250$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 13c | 224.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 38c | 219.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 197.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 68c | 196.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…f76bbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 33c | 160.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 40c | 159.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 53c | 154.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 26c | 151.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 50c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 57c | 126.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 40c | 126.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…e47bbacked Yes | 71c | 117.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 116.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 50c | 109.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 109.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…63d9backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 42c | 99.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 56c | 97.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 96.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 62c | 87.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 43c | 87.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…67cebacked Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 29c | 77.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…5d3dbacked Yes | 69c | 71.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 70.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 39c | 62.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 61.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 54c | 60.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…522abacked No | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 55.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 36c | 55.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 29c | 51.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 32c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…8bebbacked Yes | 70c | 50.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 107 | 80.4%86 W · 21 L | +21.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x35df…84d2backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked No | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 39c | 46.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f7…fd31backed No | 40c | 45.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…6b3dbacked Yes | 39c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 35c | 38.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 57c | 37.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 40c | 35.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…9352backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 56c | 35.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56c…2c11backed Yes | 43c | 34.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…a005backed Yes | 44c | 34.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…4e72backed Yes | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…58c9backed No | 61c | 32.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 60c | 32.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…2f09backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 67c | 29.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…6d3fbacked No | 49c | 28.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 44c | 26.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…0a37backed Yes | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 47c | 25.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…acc7backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241d…be08backed Yes | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 55c | 23.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…90e4backed Yes | 70c | 22.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 53c | 22.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 57c | 22.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…439fbacked No | 72c | 21.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 189 | 10.6%20 W · 169 L | -87.5wins | -0.46per pick | 57cpaid | -84%equal weight | 5-0.41 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…f641backed No | 68c | 21.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…7ae0backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on March 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.