Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0f028e235fbcf1ae25913da5ef1be010e8f474a05f00336afd4ca63447b5edd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida International Golden Panthersof Florida International Golden Panthers, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,904 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 55c | 1,494$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.03 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 46c | 1,336$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 54c | 769.38$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 53c | 382$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 46c | 288$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 46c | 272.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…6136backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 40c | 223.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…37debacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 46c | 207.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 45c | 88.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 53c | 81.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 52c | 62.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 49c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 48c | 30.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 48c | 30.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…bce5backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 55c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +149%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.