Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd139bab7ba30030ce0f62d001e712d0f4b8a5f47090690c379783f0c414cd83a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,216 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ae…2b4cbacked No | 1c | 5,220$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…5f33backed No | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…6c71backed Yes | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…5fa7backed No | 52c | 2,012$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3409…69a7backed Yes | 48c | 2,012$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…d7aebacked No | 8c | 1,175$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 42c | 1,055$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.99 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 47c | 971.23$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.24 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 614.38$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.67 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 60c | 533.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.88 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 8c | 533.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 75c | 516.89$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 41c | 438.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.45 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf198…dfedbacked No | 49c | 421.9$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 41c | 411.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 13c | 390.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 39c | 337.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…bae1backed Yes | 49c | 329.58$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d3…10f6backed No | 51c | 315.46$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…ab36backed Yes | 49c | 315.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 312.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.43 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 45c | 300.41$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0f…b307backed No | 4c | 291.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 68c | 248.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked Yes | 65c | 232.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 229.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 62c | 225.04$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 36c | 208.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked No | 27c | 204.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed Yes | 47c | 204.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…0fd7backed Yes | 66c | 196$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 52c | 195.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 27c | 194.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…83ebbacked No | 47c | 187.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 66c | 182.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 40c | 174.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…da8bbacked Yes | 37c | 172.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 49c | 169.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 49c | 168.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 60c | 158.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 55c | 158.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 50c | 152.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 39c | 151.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4a…1de1backed Yes | 41c | 149.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 39c | 149.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 24c | 147.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ff…da6dbacked Yes | 68c | 147.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 51c | 145.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…646dbacked No | 45c | 145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 144.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 53c | 141.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 55c | 137.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…dbe8backed Yes | 60c | 130.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 128.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101b…ea62backed Yes | 53c | 123.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed24…1b47backed Yes | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 65c | 119$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…0994backed No | 14c | 118.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…3bf5backed Yes | 47c | 117.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…f0c7backed No | 23c | 115.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…1103backed Yes | 50c | 114.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…9ec0backed Yes | 57c | 114.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 44c | 112$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 48c | 109.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 109.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 108.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 30c | 107.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 13c | 106.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 19c | 105.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 49c | 101.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…c66bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…eab8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…72d0backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…c972backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…b4f9backed No | 50c | 99.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 37c | 97.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…67cebacked Yes | 52c | 97.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 93.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…0364backed Yes | 66c | 87.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 51c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…0977backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed No | 25c | 86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 57c | 81.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…d2f6backed Yes | 51c | 78.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…4406backed Yes | 57c | 75.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 66c | 75.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884f…c132backed Yes | 67c | 74.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 48c | 73.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…fff5backed Yes | 56c | 70.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…17ccbacked Yes | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…b6c5backed Yes | 54c | 64.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 45c | 63.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…d64bbacked Yes | 53c | 60.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 32c | 54.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 48c | 52.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.