Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd151ff21bae03a714acfbeeb0f1a752a5062b264444cab1e6f86044cc3eb996d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof Team Falcons, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,462 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked OG | 37c | 16,657$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,454.45 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 2c | 12,183$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.56 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 67c | 10,448$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons | 68c | 7,773$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,256.25 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.96 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 4,411$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.67 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 66c | 4,074$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.62 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed OG | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…1ca2backed OG | 76c | 2,878$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 18c | 2,508$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.41 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 2,351$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.4 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 2,302$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.76 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 28c | 2,001$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.92 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 58c | 1,820$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.19 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 34c | 1,692$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.44 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,682$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.71 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,651$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.45 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked OG | 34c | 1,421$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.93 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,365$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,299$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.29 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 32c | 1,205$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.08 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed OG | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.97 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 37c | 1,089$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.76 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,087$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.47 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,000$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed OG | 60c | 967.75$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked OG | 32c | 960.67$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.38 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 849.17$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.29 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked OG | 39c | 799.97$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.98 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed OG | 35c | 792$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 731.41$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked OG | 36c | 652.69$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.65 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 599.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 35c | 560$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 517.85$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed OG | 64c | 515.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked OG | 73c | 514$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked OG | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed OG | 33c | 420.35$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.63 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 417.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed OG | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 405.86$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 401.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons | 65c | 400.31$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked OG | 32c | 399.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons | 38c | 385.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked OG | 71c | 366.78$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed OG | 33c | 354.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Team Falcons | 65c | 336$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Team Falcons | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 302.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed OG | 37c | 285.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons | 44c | 284$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked OG | 65c | 283.74$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed OG | 35c | 251.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Team Falcons | 49c | 248.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Team Falcons | 62c | 240.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Team Falcons | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team Falcons | 66c | 178$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked OG | 59c | 175.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed OG | 33c | 173.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Falcons | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Team Falcons | 64c | 146$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed OG | 34c | 144.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed OG | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked OG | 32c | 137.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Team Falcons | 64c | 135.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 127.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked OG | 49c | 126.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Team Falcons | 58c | 118$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed OG | 42c | 118$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons | 69c | 116.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Team Falcons | 65c | 114.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed OG | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons | 61c | 111$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Team Falcons | 66c | 109.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked OG | 38c | 106.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Team Falcons | 71c | 106.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Team Falcons | 62c | 103$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed OG | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 35c | 96.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed Team Falcons | 60c | 79.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed OG | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1edebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Team Falcons | 41c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed OG | 35c | 67.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed OG | 42c | 64.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Team Falcons | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 60.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 60.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed OG | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed OG | 34c | 59.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Falcons | 65c | 57.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…236dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 53.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.