Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x558dca4b2ccb9036395a10f842cd59c0bebda0a34a45969fb98e31b5b2f02090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,473 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 62c | 27,275$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,275.5 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed OG | 35c | 10,849$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,797.95 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 31c | 10,682$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.34 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 41c | 10,000$4,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.24 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed OG | 36c | 8,532$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.18 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 7,938$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.48 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed OG | 35c | 7,657$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.99 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 36c | 7,423$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.01 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked OG | 41c | 7,371$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.78 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 30c | 7,303$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.9 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Falcons | 65c | 6,961$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.01 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 6,284$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.97 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked OG | 34c | 5,165$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.73 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.2 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons | 65c | 4,004$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.59 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 39c | 3,624$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 36c | 3,010$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.03 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked OG | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 38c | 2,630$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked OG | 34c | 2,562$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.19 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 37c | 2,431$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.06 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,923$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.08 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 36c | 1,638$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.67 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.3 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,510$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.56 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 38c | 1,500$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 35c | 1,403$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.97 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 35c | 1,402$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.76 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,276$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.2 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,180$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.48 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,165$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.55 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Falcons | 66c | 999$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.66 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 64c | 938.13$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.12 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Team Falcons | 70c | 918$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed OG | 36c | 859.46$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.41 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons | 66c | 841.44$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.87 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG | 35c | 750.7$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.12 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 747.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked OG | 35c | 587.48$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed OG | 29c | 578.87$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Falcons | 67c | 522.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Falcons | 75c | 518.58$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed OG | 33c | 432.47$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed OG | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Team Falcons | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 70c | 380.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Falcons | 63c | 380.95$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Team Falcons | 66c | 327.55$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 69c | 317.47$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 311.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 65c | 306.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed OG | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked OG | 40c | 299.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Team Falcons | 60c | 294.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 284.69$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 274.89$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed OG | 39c | 272.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked OG | 37c | 266$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Falcons | 62c | 254.1$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Falcons | 66c | 251.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 230.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ad7fbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 225.05$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed OG | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 210.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed OG | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked OG | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked OG | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Team Falcons | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Falcons | 67c | 199.42$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Falcons | 75c | 193.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons | 77c | 191.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed OG | 25c | 175$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 170.39$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Team Falcons | 68c | 160.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked OG | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Falcons | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed Team Falcons | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed OG | 26c | 147.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 146.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed OG | 34c | 146.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Team Falcons | 67c | 145.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed OG | 35c | 144.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 129.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Team Falcons | 67c | 127.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Falcons | 62c | 120.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked OG | 32c | 120.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked OG | 31c | 117.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Team Falcons | 66c | 116.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Team Falcons | 66c | 114.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed OG | 34c | 110.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 30c | 109.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…f506backed OG | 30c | 106.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed OG | 42c | 106.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 33c | 103.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.