Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Riverside Highlanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1ef05bd86db2b01ad96dbbe25ca229111fe903929a16b99c931cee1b23a622c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal Poly Mustangsof Cal Poly Mustangs, UC Riverside Highlanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 51c | 3,263$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 20c | 2,452$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 1,532$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.48 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 27c | 1,436$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.51 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 1,389$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 45c | 1,145$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.8 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 50c | 990.86$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.43 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 957.89$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 36c | 910.1$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.07 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 25c | 842.38$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.02 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 17c | 778$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 65c | 663.02$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 644.44$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.67 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 3c | 550$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 359.08$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 329$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 56c | 294.55$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 71c | 274$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 7c | 213.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 10c | 205.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 42c | 133.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 22c | 119.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 32c | 99.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 65c | 60.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 52c | 48.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 52c | 45.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 51c | 33.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.