Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1f2216efe3202af275d49fb33c3a8ec2c16d5b42ee35b56a286cf59fb66b911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof FunPlus Phoenix, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Wolves Esports | 37c | 1,374$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.93 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 74c | 1,255$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.18 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wolves Esports | 43c | 908.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.15 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Wolves Esports | 33c | 826.1$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.32 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wolves Esports | 40c | 764.02$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.78 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 65c | 516.56$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 49c | 480.47$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.66 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 72c | 430$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed FunPlus Phoenix | 46c | 290.71$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Wolves Esports | 41c | 271.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wolves Esports | 41c | 215.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed FunPlus Phoenix | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed FunPlus Phoenix | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed FunPlus Phoenix | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed FunPlus Phoenix | 62c | 151.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed FunPlus Phoenix | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed FunPlus Phoenix | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Wolves Esports | 40c | 119$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Wolves Esports | 40c | 117.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Wolves Esports | 30c | 109.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wolves Esports | 43c | 109.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Wolves Esports | 41c | 103.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed FunPlus Phoenix | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 84.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FunPlus Phoenix | 71c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 74c | 36.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Wolves Esports | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 35.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FunPlus Phoenix | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed FunPlus Phoenix | 74c | 29.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed FunPlus Phoenix | 68c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccb…0693backed FunPlus Phoenix | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed FunPlus Phoenix | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Wolves Esports | 43c | 24.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…ac7bbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 65c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 PlayoffsFunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.