Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c770251a36ebf42d51df96db2cbf2dcd22894afd675b1818c82048c187958c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof FunPlus Phoenix, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 1,751$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.27 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Wolves Esports | 46c | 1,260$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.39 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Wolves Esports | 31c | 992$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.1 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FunPlus Phoenix | 63c | 576.19$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Wolves Esports | 43c | 404.29$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 53c | 390.58$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 52c | 264.17$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Wolves Esports | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 46c | 196.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FunPlus Phoenix | 56c | 189.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Wolves Esports | 34c | 166.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 163.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed FunPlus Phoenix | 32c | 154.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…e1edbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 68c | 146.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 144.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 131$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wolves Esports | 52c | 99.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed FunPlus Phoenix | 46c | 98.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Wolves Esports | 64c | 91.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FunPlus Phoenix | 39c | 81.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Wolves Esports | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 56c | 53.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wolves Esports | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed FunPlus Phoenix | 55c | 41.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…0d81backed FunPlus Phoenix | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 22.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 21.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked Wolves Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 PlayoffsFunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.