Tennis · resolved market
Cary: Alex Martinez vs Jay Dylan Friend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd217e7cd1322e23097a37045bd9cac1ac354c8c4cf1c9daee36ca27a49c068e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jay Dylan Friendof Alex Martinez, Jay Dylan Friend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jay Dylan Friend | 66c | 3,287$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.51 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Alex Martinez | 38c | 2,612$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.83 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Martinez | 41c | 2,348$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.18 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jay Dylan Friend | 63c | 1,098$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.06 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Martinez | 21c | 1,068$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.93 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Alex Martinez | 37c | 1,067$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Martinez | 11c | 1,019$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alex Martinez | 36c | 994$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.38 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jay Dylan Friend | 66c | 834.71$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alex Martinez | 34c | 690.76$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alex Martinez | 33c | 588.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 65c | 548.29$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.08 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Jay Dylan Friend | 67c | 507$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 474.78$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.09 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alex Martinez | 43c | 440.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.48 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Martinez | 40c | 403.68$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabaf…e4c5backed Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 354.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 330.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alex Martinez | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 61c | 291.12$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Jay Dylan Friend | 64c | 283.39$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Jay Dylan Friend | 54c | 253.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Jay Dylan Friend | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Martinez | 35c | 249.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alex Martinez | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Jay Dylan Friend | 54c | 239.26$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Martinez | 11c | 210.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 197.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jay Dylan Friend | 63c | 196$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Martinez | 12c | 188.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 65c | 176.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Jay Dylan Friend | 58c | 174.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 169.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jay Dylan Friend | 69c | 146.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Alex Martinez | 38c | 143.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Alex Martinez | 31c | 140.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Alex Martinez | 35c | 111.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex Martinez | 12c | 111.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Jay Dylan Friend | 66c | 98.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Jay Dylan Friend | 59c | 97.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Alex Martinez | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Alex Martinez | 33c | 91.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Alex Martinez | 18c | 78.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 60.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alex Martinez | 36c | 55.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Alex Martinez | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Jay Dylan Friend | 64c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Alex Martinez | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Jay Dylan Friend | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 63c | 38.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Jay Dylan Friend | 65c | 38.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…9bacbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Jay Dylan Friend | 65c | 29.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Jay Dylan Friend | 67c | 26.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Jay Dylan Friend | 64c | 24.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 64c | 24.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Jay Dylan Friend | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Jay Dylan Friend | 61c | 23.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 67c | 17.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 64c | 16.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.