Tennis · resolved market
ITF Champaign: Lev Seidman vs Eli Stephenson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2201d8c1d38e9ad762bc59b92043dbd6e6e72cc25248fbc9e8b49bf56833acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eli Stephensonof Lev Seidman, Eli Stephenson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lev Seidman | 35c | 2,796$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.18 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eli Stephenson | 62c | 1,973$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Eli Stephenson | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lev Seidman | 46c | 1,133$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.03 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Lev Seidman | 58c | 959.56$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.3 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eli Stephenson | 54c | 874.96$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.48 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Eli Stephenson | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Eli Stephenson | 59c | 583.69$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.31 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lev Seidman | 50c | 536.71$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lev Seidman | 54c | 465.94$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Eli Stephenson | 64c | 390.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lev Seidman | 35c | 314.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Eli Stephenson | 65c | 287.08$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lev Seidman | 37c | 284.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Eli Stephenson | 41c | 269.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Eli Stephenson | 78c | 260.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Eli Stephenson | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Eli Stephenson | 54c | 209.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Lev Seidman | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Eli Stephenson | 55c | 193.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lev Seidman | 25c | 180.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Lev Seidman | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Lev Seidman | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lev Seidman | 52c | 98.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Lev Seidman | 31c | 95.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Lev Seidman | 36c | 89.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Lev Seidman | 36c | 81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…4d59backed Eli Stephenson | 64c | 68.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Eli Stephenson | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lev Seidman | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lev Seidman | 49c | 59.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Lev Seidman | 41c | 51.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Lev Seidman | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lev Seidman | 36c | 51.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Eli Stephenson | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…0ac8backed Eli Stephenson | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Lev Seidman | 36c | 43.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Lev Seidman | 51c | 36.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lev Seidman | 40c | 36.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lev Seidman | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Lev Seidman | 50c | 35.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Lev Seidman | 40c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Lev Seidman | 40c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Lev Seidman | 40c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Eli Stephenson | 55c | 35.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Lev Seidman | 52c | 35.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eli Stephenson | 58c | 34.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Lev Seidman | 40c | 33.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Lev Seidman | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Lev Seidman | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lev Seidman | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lev Seidman | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Eli Stephenson | 58c | 25.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Eli Stephenson | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Eli Stephenson | 65c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.