TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

ITF Nova Gorica: Lorenzo Bocchi vs Dimitris Sakellaridis

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dimitris Sakellaridisof Lorenzo Bocchi, Dimitris Sakellaridis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Dimitris Sakellaridis60c2,841$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.372,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lorenzo Bocchi35c2,133$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.174,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Lorenzo Bocchi62c1,200$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75062457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x693b…84e3backed Dimitris Sakellaridis70c660.39$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.149063.3%57 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dimitris Sakellaridis37c607.2$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.538,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Dimitris Sakellaridis38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3727,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Lorenzo Bocchi54c592.59$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32020846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Lorenzo Bocchi62c485.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Bocchi31c407.74$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.858,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Lorenzo Bocchi20c380.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5535032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dimitris Sakellaridis38c295.06$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.64,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Lorenzo Bocchi46c219.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Dimitris Sakellaridis50c202$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10227151.3%139 W · 132 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Dimitris Sakellaridis71c180.46$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.021,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Dimitris Sakellaridis47c157.4$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.491,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lorenzo Bocchi18c137.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.336,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Lorenzo Bocchi31c125.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.699244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe3…eaafbacked Lorenzo Bocchi59c118.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702536%9 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Lorenzo Bocchi30c117.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.521,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Bocchi24c104.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.993,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dimitris Sakellaridis63c98.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.981,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Lorenzo Bocchi33c96.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9760452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Lorenzo Bocchi30c96.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.476,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Lorenzo Bocchi32c89.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.281,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Lorenzo Bocchi62c80.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Dimitris Sakellaridis79c75.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9536378.2%284 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick77cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Lorenzo Bocchi52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359629.2%28 W · 68 L-11.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lorenzo Bocchi56c67.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.792,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Lorenzo Bocchi54c64.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9227748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Dimitris Sakellaridis54c58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6857950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Lorenzo Bocchi59c54.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4463648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Dimitris Sakellaridis42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Lorenzo Bocchi62c44.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.422,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Dimitris Sakellaridis60c37.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6814355.2%79 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Lorenzo Bocchi52c24.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8257845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45a3…7a5abacked Dimitris Sakellaridis77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.