Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Leicestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2cdec8a4844d4f2b4289ed128521ee52b3665112f6568e2c69d83f830866045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leicestershireof Lancashire, Leicestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Lancashire | 4c | 5,268$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Leicestershire | 54c | 1,579$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.5 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lancashire | 42c | 1,412$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.96 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Leicestershire | 35c | 1,015$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.76 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Lancashire | 64c | 599.74$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.38 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lancashire | 19c | 539.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lancashire | 28c | 507.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lancashire | 24c | 504$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Lancashire | 6c | 484.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Leicestershire | 34c | 450$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Leicestershire | 64c | 367.64$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leicestershire | 40c | 309.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lancashire | 40c | 307.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lancashire | 31c | 273.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lancashire | 59c | 250.96$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.29 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Lancashire | 64c | 241$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Leicestershire | 75c | 221.41$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lancashire | 39c | 175.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lancashire | 44c | 172.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Leicestershire | 60c | 163.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Leicestershire | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Leicestershire | 43c | 131.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Leicestershire | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lancashire | 57c | 83.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Lancashire | 49c | 74.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Leicestershire | 36c | 74.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Lancashire | 58c | 62.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…20cebacked Leicestershire | 46c | 61.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Leicestershire | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Leicestershire | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Leicestershire | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Leicestershire | 41c | 39.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Leicestershire | 62c | 36.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Leicestershire | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Leicestershire | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Leicestershire | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Leicestershire | 49c | 21.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Lancashire | 61c | 18.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.