Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31083d86383e02e7002a0364f2b61d68bf400cd0e05c2b17044a424bafce575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 1,741$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 80c | 971.63$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.34 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 39c | 853.85$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 5c | 799.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 10c | 525.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 6c | 499.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 354.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 32c | 346.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 32c | 331.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 73c | 303.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 5c | 280.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 25c | 252.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 35c | 248.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 41c | 233.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 28c | 233.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 71c | 228.9$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 73c | 215$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 59c | 205.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 59c | 204.12$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 202.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 181.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 16c | 175.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 60c | 164$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 24c | 160.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 41c | 89.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 62c | 77.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 31c | 74.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked No | 33c | 70.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 65.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 33c | 63.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 64c | 31.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 41c | 29.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 28.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.