Tennis · resolved market
ITF Palma Del Rio: Fangran Tian vs Amandine Hesse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd36d27b24619ea3b30e117f713fc6e5059b02580130e5cb57ef851104965e22f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amandine Hesseof Fangran Tian, Amandine Hesse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Fangran Tian | 39c | 3,420$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.28 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…247abacked Fangran Tian | 35c | 2,889$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Amandine Hesse | 64c | 2,507$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.06 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Fangran Tian | 18c | 2,316$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.06 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Fangran Tian | 45c | 2,001$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fangran Tian | 43c | 1,748$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.62 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amandine Hesse | 55c | 1,007$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.26 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Amandine Hesse | 80c | 888.42$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Fangran Tian | 65c | 849.08$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.9 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Amandine Hesse | 55c | 735.33$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.82 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Amandine Hesse | 35c | 731.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.77 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Fangran Tian | 47c | 699$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.01 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Amandine Hesse | 64c | 613.54$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.99 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Amandine Hesse | 56c | 379.93$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Fangran Tian | 53c | 335.19$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.13 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Amandine Hesse | 64c | 289.77$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Amandine Hesse | 75c | 273.36$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Amandine Hesse | 60c | 261.03$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Amandine Hesse | 74c | 249.02$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fangran Tian | 39c | 247.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Amandine Hesse | 62c | 244.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Amandine Hesse | 56c | 242.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Fangran Tian | 50c | 242.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Amandine Hesse | 70c | 211.34$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Amandine Hesse | 35c | 205.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Fangran Tian | 11c | 198.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amandine Hesse | 53c | 189.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Fangran Tian | 24c | 159.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 908 | 34.1%310 W · 598 L | -43.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Amandine Hesse | 35c | 123.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Amandine Hesse | 50c | 105.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Fangran Tian | 65c | 103.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Amandine Hesse | 68c | 101.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Amandine Hesse | 35c | 92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Amandine Hesse | 36c | 83.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Amandine Hesse | 43c | 79.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amandine Hesse | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Fangran Tian | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Fangran Tian | 57c | 65.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fangran Tian | 38c | 60.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fangran Tian | 41c | 60.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked Amandine Hesse | 76c | 59.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Fangran Tian | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Amandine Hesse | 59c | 54.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Amandine Hesse | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fangran Tian | 45c | 47.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Amandine Hesse | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fangran Tian | 36c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Fangran Tian | 32c | 34.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fangran Tian | 63c | 34.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Amandine Hesse | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Amandine Hesse | 56c | 32.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Fangran Tian | 42c | 32.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Fangran Tian | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Amandine Hesse | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Fangran Tian | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Fangran Tian | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Fangran Tian | 47c | 23.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Amandine Hesse | 62c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Fangran Tian | 65c | 20.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Fangran Tian | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Amandine Hesse | 63c | 15.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Amandine Hesse | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Amandine Hesse | 75c | 13.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.