Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bastia-Lucciana: Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Johan Nikles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3cd89df3bb89ec76186f9826dcca4377c8226dfbb3f1f50093c3ace48362af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pierre Antoine Tailleuof Pierre Antoine Tailleu, Johan Nikles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 39c | 1,957$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.75 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Johan Nikles | 58c | 714.62$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.92 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 527.24$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 30c | 368.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.76 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 10c | 357.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…05f5backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 12c | 260.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +333.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Johan Nikles | 72c | 147.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Johan Nikles | 73c | 120.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Johan Nikles | 57c | 91.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Johan Nikles | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Johan Nikles | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Johan Nikles | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Johan Nikles | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Johan Nikles | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Johan Nikles | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Johan Nikles | 75c | 58.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Johan Nikles | 57c | 52.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Johan Nikles | 66c | 49.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Johan Nikles | 44c | 41.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Johan Nikles | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 39c | 38.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 36.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Johan Nikles | 76c | 34.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Johan Nikles | 73c | 32.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Johan Nikles | 55c | 32.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 44c | 31.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Johan Nikles | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Johan Nikles | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 35c | 29.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 54c | 26.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 43c | 25.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 58c | 21.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johan Nikles | 54c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Johan Nikles | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 59c | 19.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.