Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3cea24bf3b7c391e3dc2a9577d032693560d6a545e1dc5bd6e236c8c359dbd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1556…b722backed Yes | 5c | 384.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 333$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 71c | 324.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 32c | 308.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 262.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 35c | 260$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 243.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 232.94$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 66c | 202.27$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 26c | 174.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 154.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 115.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 29c | 103.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 102$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 28c | 99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 71c | 79.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 74c | 78.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…7750backed No | 72c | 78.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 73.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 70.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 69c | 65.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed No | 72c | 60.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 28c | 53.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 49.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 42.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 31c | 39.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…3d2dbacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed No | 72c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-11?Yes won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.