Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Austin Peay Governors vs. Jacksonville Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3dd162bb0658e5f9aa1c9114c8670d52afd41fe077e6a029a9ab100cf88b77b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austin Peay Governorsof Austin Peay Governors, Jacksonville Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 16c | 834.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Austin Peay Governors | 66c | 708.11$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.1 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 38c | 627.92$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.37 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Austin Peay Governors | 80c | 565.11$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 36c | 523.03$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 14c | 513.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Austin Peay Governors | 64c | 235$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 21c | 206.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 30c | 172.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 31c | 155.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Austin Peay Governors | 69c | 133$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Austin Peay Governors | 59c | 112$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Austin Peay Governors | 73c | 111.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Austin Peay Governors | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Austin Peay Governors | 70c | 82.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Austin Peay Governors | 78c | 61.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Austin Peay Governors | 79c | 57.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Austin Peay Governors | 70c | 54.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Austin Peay Governors | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Austin Peay Governors | 64c | 49.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…78bcbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 34c | 42.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…2ef2backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Austin Peay Governors | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Austin Peay Governors | 71c | 29.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Austin Peay Governors | 66c | 24.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Austin Peay Governors | 74c | 24.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Austin Peay Governors | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Austin Peay Governors | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Austin Peay Governors | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin Peay Governors vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsthis page
- Austin Peay Governors vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-6.5)Jacksonville Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.