Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4199ec1267ec31e9196a0bbb85e3662f9b0a5607583bca6ae02d5c08aca8c49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,673 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 28,481$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,227.04 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 78c | 7,311$5,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,702.58 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 6,928$5,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,409.88 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 3,626$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.45 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 78c | 3,333$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.74 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 25c | 3,216$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,379$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.89 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 24c | 1,010$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.48 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 31c | 518.02$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.96 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 25c | 406$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.24 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 25c | 399.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 288.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 247$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 14c | 230.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 15c | 202$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed No | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 179$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 23c | 149$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 148.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 132$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 67c | 121.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 117.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 78c | 116.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 78c | 77.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked No | 79c | 74.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 73.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…d93dbacked No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 37c | 51.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 25c | 42.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 37.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 34.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 271 | 51.7%140 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 71c | 32.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 30.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 78c | 28.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 69c | 26.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 80c | 16.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 76c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.