Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Duje Ajdukovic vs Dalibor Svrcina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd43d199c242288edf00f79bc496aa947439865d2cade3b0d848a806510aa8387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalibor Svrcinaof Duje Ajdukovic, Dalibor Svrcina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Duje Ajdukovic | 1c | 10,464$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…4682backed Duje Ajdukovic | 11c | 9,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Duje Ajdukovic | 18c | 1,673$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.14 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 17c | 1,163$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Duje Ajdukovic | 10c | 823.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Duje Ajdukovic | 23c | 798.15$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Dalibor Svrcina | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Duje Ajdukovic | 16c | 437.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 18c | 197.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Duje Ajdukovic | 19c | 187$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Duje Ajdukovic | 11c | 175.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Duje Ajdukovic | 17c | 172.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 11c | 142.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Duje Ajdukovic | 10c | 137.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 137.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 22c | 132.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 14c | 128.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Duje Ajdukovic | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…44f2backed Duje Ajdukovic | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Duje Ajdukovic | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Duje Ajdukovic | 10c | 111.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Duje Ajdukovic | 12c | 108$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Duje Ajdukovic | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Dalibor Svrcina | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Duje Ajdukovic | 20c | 88.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Duje Ajdukovic | 16c | 78.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…a8aabacked Duje Ajdukovic | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Duje Ajdukovic | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Duje Ajdukovic | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Dalibor Svrcina | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.