CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd45de1b3a369c57517bc4a4dc32ddd0f5e83ce0ddb8939c846f1b15be558c73d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked Lavked | 10c | 1,853$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 27c | 927.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked K27 | 72c | 877.99$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Lavked | 33c | 756.55$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.42 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Lavked | 27c | 749.87$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 74c | 667.19$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.13 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Lavked | 28c | 636.86$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.32 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed K27 | 73c | 501.74$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked K27 | 73c | 420.57$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 79c | 404.25$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed Lavked | 28c | 342.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed K27 | 72c | 302$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Lavked | 21c | 300.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…32e1backed Lavked | 20c | 280.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked Lavked | 34c | 275.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed K27 | 73c | 271.56$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Lavked | 32c | 248.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Lavked | 11c | 233.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed K27 | 73c | 203.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed K27 | 73c | 201.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…8c5fbacked Lavked | 12c | 168.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 29c | 166.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Lavked | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked Lavked | 32c | 144.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Lavked | 19c | 142.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed K27 | 76c | 139.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…90c6backed K27 | 73c | 133.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked K27 | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked K27 | 77c | 125.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Lavked | 15c | 119.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Lavked | 33c | 96.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Lavked | 27c | 93.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2674…6534backed Lavked | 22c | 87.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Lavked | 26c | 78.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lavked | 24c | 74.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lavked | 16c | 72.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lavked | 27c | 63.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Lavked | 39c | 63.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Lavked | 27c | 60.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 80c | 60.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed K27 | 77c | 56.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Lavked | 28c | 53.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lavked | 21c | 52.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lavked | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked K27 | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Lavked | 20c | 49.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lavked | 28c | 49.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked | 27c | 47.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lavked | 28c | 41.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked K27 | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed K27 | 73c | 36.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked K27 | 67c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed K27 | 64c | 33.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed K27 | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked K27 | 73c | 29.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…6fe9backed K27 | 73c | 29.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed K27 | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked K27 | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked K27 | 78c | 27.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…bc3abacked K27 | 75c | 26.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…b56dbacked K27 | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed K27 | 68c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed K27 | 73c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.