CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb165efb2d77b0854d75f3141c0e9c4fff02a113e3e46cb1afa5e76a6d80cfaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed K27 | 54c | 1,178$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.6 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lavked | 47c | 825.17$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.28 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 44c | 670.04$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.96 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lavked | 46c | 498.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.86 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked K27 | 64c | 255.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lavked | 34c | 214.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Lavked | 21c | 176$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lavked | 29c | 100.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed K27 | 60c | 93.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Lavked | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked K27 | 63c | 74.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked K27 | 50c | 65.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Lavked | 48c | 60.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Lavked | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Lavked | 57c | 50.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lavked | 49c | 47.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked K27 | 53c | 45.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed K27 | 71c | 44.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked K27 | 40c | 44.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed K27 | 57c | 41.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 45c | 41.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Lavked | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Lavked | 44c | 37.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Lavked | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked K27 | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Lavked | 37c | 34.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed K27 | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 69c | 33.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 45c | 31.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Lavked | 53c | 27.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked K27 | 55c | 23.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…a435backed Lavked | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 70cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed K27 | 61c | 21.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.