Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Kimberly Birrell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4924010298abc38ebcb62d80bf49048a0686fce6fcd3d96860e7f7049d8bb80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Victoria Mbokoof Victoria Mboko, Kimberly Birrell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,243 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kimberly Birrell | 18c | 4,777$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.83 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Victoria Mboko | 79c | 3,912$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.33 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kimberly Birrell | 20c | 3,499$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.22 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kimberly Birrell | 5c | 3,038$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kimberly Birrell | 19c | 2,440$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.63 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Kimberly Birrell | 8c | 1,512$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Victoria Mboko | 70c | 1,230$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kimberly Birrell | 18c | 1,203$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kimberly Birrell | 14c | 1,031$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Kimberly Birrell | 19c | 845.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…c5c9backed Kimberly Birrell | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Kimberly Birrell | 17c | 718.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Kimberly Birrell | 13c | 636.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Kimberly Birrell | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Kimberly Birrell | 13c | 557$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Kimberly Birrell | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Kimberly Birrell | 19c | 478.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kimberly Birrell | 12c | 464$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Kimberly Birrell | 27c | 424.22$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Kimberly Birrell | 10c | 383.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Kimberly Birrell | 12c | 369$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kimberly Birrell | 17c | 367.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kimberly Birrell | 16c | 364.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kimberly Birrell | 19c | 307$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kimberly Birrell | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kimberly Birrell | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kimberly Birrell | 5c | 293.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Kimberly Birrell | 18c | 286.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kimberly Birrell | 19c | 278.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Kimberly Birrell | 14c | 278.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Kimberly Birrell | 21c | 237.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Kimberly Birrell | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Kimberly Birrell | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…f502backed Kimberly Birrell | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Victoria Mboko | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kimberly Birrell | 12c | 125.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Victoria Mboko | 79c | 124.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kimberly Birrell | 18c | 121.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kimberly Birrell | 15c | 120.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Victoria Mboko | 79c | 113.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Victoria Mboko | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Kimberly Birrell | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kimberly Birrell | 22c | 69.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Victoria Mboko | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kimberly Birrell | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f6…3e2cbacked Victoria Mboko | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +122%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Victoria Mboko | 76c | 25.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Kimberly Birrellthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mboko vs BirrellMboko won
- Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)Mboko won
- Victoria Mboko vs. Kimberly Birrell: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.