CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd497fd2b668d561925c7a703b37cf20d30cc2ae83de48ba944a47c01ffcd5a14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof ENCE, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked ENCE | 50c | 2,673$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.32 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ENCE | 49c | 1,680$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ENCE | 56c | 1,531$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.27 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 1,382$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Eternal Fire | 35c | 1,160$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.27 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked ENCE | 66c | 759.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.27 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ENCE | 50c | 495.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 487.05$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire | 38c | 446$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.72 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 12c | 380.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.51 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 309.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked ENCE | 78c | 245$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 223.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed ENCE | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 169.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 40c | 142.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 137.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Eternal Fire | 26c | 137$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 134$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ENCE | 69c | 114.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Eternal Fire | 27c | 112$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked ENCE | 68c | 111.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 109.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 75.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed ENCE | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Eternal Fire | 26c | 68.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ENCE | 28c | 52.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ENCE | 38c | 40.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed ENCE | 60c | 35.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked ENCE | 78c | 33.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked ENCE | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed ENCE | 69c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed ENCE | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: ENCE (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.