Ligue 1 · resolved market
Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd55b5c0059241f103adbe0321eba1d1104a1a288714f766d5ed997e9dcae9db4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 42c | 4,760$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 4,726$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.5 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 1,008$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.14 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Yes | 66c | 742.12$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 38c | 332.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.45 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 43c | 325.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…23a3backed No | 37c | 240.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 61c | 171.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 59c | 155.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 62c | 127.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…7a69backed Yes | 59c | 114.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 40c | 107.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 91.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 62c | 78.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 57.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 54c | 54.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 45c | 50.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 59c | 45.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 59c | 39.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 41c | 34.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 39c | 32.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 59c | 28.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 62c | 25.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 62c | 24.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 47c | 22.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 63c | 18.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 58c | 18.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.