CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c9749ec39a10495a51a98eb34bcf8168dcc6abf6c73552a0a55aff42aecdc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof UNO MILLE, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked UNO MILLE | 8c | 1,971$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNO MILLE | 13c | 1,967$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.78 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ALKA | 72c | 1,545$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.59 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE | 45c | 612.73$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed UNO MILLE | 5c | 557.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked UNO MILLE | 37c | 537.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked UNO MILLE | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALKA | 51c | 394.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.07 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6001backed UNO MILLE | 39c | 386.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked UNO MILLE | 48c | 343.11$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked UNO MILLE | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UNO MILLE | 40c | 264$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked UNO MILLE | 55c | 248.24$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ALKA | 33c | 197.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ALKA | 47c | 193.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed UNO MILLE | 66c | 177.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed UNO MILLE | 40c | 176$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked UNO MILLE | 16c | 161.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ALKA | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed UNO MILLE | 28c | 135.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed UNO MILLE | 59c | 129.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA | 36c | 126.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ALKA | 48c | 124.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed ALKA | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed UNO MILLE | 56c | 106.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked UNO MILLE | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed ALKA | 41c | 100.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked UNO MILLE | 18c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed UNO MILLE | 29c | 92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ALKA | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed ALKA | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked UNO MILLE | 67c | 79.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked UNO MILLE | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed UNO MILLE | 40c | 62.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed UNO MILLE | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ALKA | 41c | 43.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed UNO MILLE | 60c | 27.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked UNO MILLE | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed ALKA | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…6286backed ALKA | 62c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed UNO MILLE | 65c | 21.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked UNO MILLE | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed UNO MILLE | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerUNO MILLE won
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Map Handicap: UNO (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.