Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: Duncan Chan vs Taro Daniel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd613ab99437921069fa9334bef7f605d648322662b4752e4b1fd668cd63eeeb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taro Danielof Duncan Chan, Taro Daniel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Duncan Chan | 4c | 2,587$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Duncan Chan | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Taro Daniel | 78c | 1,751$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.11 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Duncan Chan | 13c | 1,499$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Duncan Chan | 28c | 1,259$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.62 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Taro Daniel | 63c | 1,107$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.28 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Duncan Chan | 37c | 793.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Duncan Chan | 22c | 719.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.86 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Taro Daniel | 63c | 352.56$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Duncan Chan | 41c | 339.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Taro Daniel | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Duncan Chan | 36c | 264.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Duncan Chan | 36c | 260$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Duncan Chan | 38c | 242.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Taro Daniel | 79c | 214$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Duncan Chan | 37c | 201.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Taro Daniel | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…20aebacked Taro Daniel | 70c | 196.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Taro Daniel | 64c | 182.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Duncan Chan | 41c | 178.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Duncan Chan | 10c | 159.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Taro Daniel | 68c | 146.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Duncan Chan | 38c | 144.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Duncan Chan | 35c | 139.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…5269backed Duncan Chan | 37c | 138.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Taro Daniel | 69c | 138.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Duncan Chan | 27c | 135.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Duncan Chan | 38c | 130.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Duncan Chan | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Taro Daniel | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Taro Daniel | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Duncan Chan | 25c | 91.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Taro Daniel | 76c | 90.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Taro Daniel | 63c | 89.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Taro Daniel | 61c | 76.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Duncan Chan | 25c | 65.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Taro Daniel | 72c | 61.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Taro Daniel | 59c | 59.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…c9adbacked Taro Daniel | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Taro Daniel | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Taro Daniel | 62c | 49.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Duncan Chan | 40c | 43.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Taro Daniel | 76c | 40.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…408cbacked Duncan Chan | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…a128backed Taro Daniel | 60c | 35.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Duncan Chan | 36c | 31.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Taro Daniel | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Taro Daniel | 71c | 26.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Duncan Chan | 42c | 26.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Taro Daniel | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Taro Daniel | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Taro Daniel | 62c | 20.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6022…9ec8backed Taro Daniel | 68c | 18.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 17.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Taro Daniel | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Taro Daniel | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Taro Daniel | 73c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.