Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd65e6610b21dd79fc2debe10cb3ab05bff80ea618d53ffd3bbd1929b7219ec37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Azure Dragon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3522…188fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 38c | 7,881$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked M80 | 61c | 2,682$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 39c | 2,409$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.32 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked M80 | 62c | 1,944$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.41 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bb…f0fabacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 6c | 1,251$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 39c | 759.79$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.47 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked M80 | 62c | 714.33$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.45 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 31c | 697.8$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked M80 | 62c | 642.02$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked M80 | 62c | 584.37$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked M80 | 62c | 515.96$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 37c | 415.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed M80 | 61c | 392.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed M80 | 63c | 310.71$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed M80 | 62c | 300.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked M80 | 62c | 293.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed M80 | 62c | 293.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked M80 | 62c | 293.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 38c | 277.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed M80 | 62c | 244.3$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed M80 | 62c | 231.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed M80 | 61c | 226.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed M80 | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 18c | 197.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 37c | 196.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked M80 | 62c | 192.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked M80 | 62c | 180.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked M80 | 61c | 160.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked M80 | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed M80 | 62c | 153.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed M80 | 62c | 148.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d57…8c1abacked M80 | 62c | 146.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed M80 | 63c | 145.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked M80 | 62c | 145.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked M80 | 62c | 141.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked M80 | 62c | 119.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed M80 | 62c | 119.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed M80 | 62c | 117.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed M80 | 60c | 97.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 27c | 91.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed M80 | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed M80 | 62c | 75.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed M80 | 62c | 59.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed M80 | 62c | 58.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed M80 | 62c | 57.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked M80 | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked M80 | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed M80 | 62c | 51.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…560ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 39c | 51.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked M80 | 62c | 50.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed M80 | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66e…d4bebacked M80 | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked M80 | 62c | 31.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed M80 | 62c | 31.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked M80 | 62c | 31.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed M80 | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 37c | 28.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…6eacbacked M80 | 70c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…7cffbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 38c | 27.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…d963backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 38c | 26.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed M80 | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed M80 | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed M80 | 62c | 22.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…8c44backed M80 | 66c | 22.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed M80 | 62c | 20.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed M80 | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.