Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f7992cf11b3acf0aa0bfaeec2494bbac23f0e3f2ce89c69cc9fb49e9e4cf264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Azure Dragon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182d…73e9backed M80 | 56c | 296.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 70c | 129.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed M80 | 26c | 106.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 47c | 94.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed M80 | 57c | 92.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…b5dabacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 21c | 68.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed M80 | 66c | 37.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 79c | 28.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed M80 | 67c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked M80 | 65c | 27.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed M80 | 66c | 25.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked M80 | 56c | 23.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked M80 | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group StageM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.