MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd679538eb0451364874bf442c4cff42a571cf5a7fbbb4505fed6b2bf6d1dfe33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof NC Dinos, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 2c | 1,070$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NC Dinos | 29c | 831.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.24 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 64c | 716.92$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.19 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked NC Dinos | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…200ebacked NC Dinos | 38c | 381.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked NC Dinos | 11c | 333$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NC Dinos | 13c | 310$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed NC Dinos | 50c | 261.32$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 257$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 16c | 255.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed NC Dinos | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed NC Dinos | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 60c | 193.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed NC Dinos | 11c | 189.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed NC Dinos | 50c | 172.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 141.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 53c | 134.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NC Dinos | 11c | 124$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed NC Dinos | 64c | 120.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 104.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Lotte Giants | 75c | 97.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 96.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed NC Dinos | 38c | 92.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 84.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 35c | 62.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NC Dinos | 54c | 57.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed NC Dinos | 60c | 57.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 78c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 48.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…f453backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 44.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked NC Dinos | 75c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NC Dinos | 74c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 31.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…423bbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 27.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…7765backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…255fbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed NC Dinos | 60c | 25.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed NC Dinos | 61c | 25.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 25.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0263…dd37backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…d14bbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…4763backed NC Dinos | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a902backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +75%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked NC Dinos | 69c | 22.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…8e1ebacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…1f0abacked NC Dinos | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.