Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nivelles: Jannik Opitz vs Robert Strombachs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd77fdc4dc47dc495f0c3a3dd4d461f2e70cdddbda2c6a930bb79a1dd6b5592cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Opitzof Jannik Opitz, Robert Strombachs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jannik Opitz | 35c | 11,260$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,344.61 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Robert Strombachs | 64c | 5,679$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Robert Strombachs | 64c | 1,231$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.84 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Robert Strombachs | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Robert Strombachs | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Robert Strombachs | 74c | 420.97$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Robert Strombachs | 69c | 385.15$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Robert Strombachs | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Robert Strombachs | 64c | 217$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Strombachs | 55c | 209.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Robert Strombachs | 64c | 189.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Robert Strombachs | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Robert Strombachs | 64c | 153$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Robert Strombachs | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robert Strombachs | 42c | 111.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Robert Strombachs | 64c | 90.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Robert Strombachs | 24c | 90.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Robert Strombachs | 64c | 80.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Robert Strombachs | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Robert Strombachs | 64c | 79.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Robert Strombachs | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Robert Strombachs | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jannik Opitz | 27c | 58.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Jannik Opitz | 30c | 56.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Robert Strombachs | 64c | 56.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Jannik Opitz | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jannik Opitz | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Robert Strombachs | 73c | 43.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Robert Strombachs | 64c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Robert Strombachs | 71c | 40.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Robert Strombachs | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Robert Strombachs | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jannik Opitz | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Robert Strombachs | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Robert Strombachs | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Robert Strombachs | 62c | 27.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Robert Strombachs | 69c | 26.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Robert Strombachs | 64c | 22.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Robert Strombachs | 64c | 17.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.