Europa Conference League · resolved market
IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd82a5174135550ac4e200fe3cfb1e33160af73262b57616e80071e4dcb1a6925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 5,024$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.78 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 30c | 1,842$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.15 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 72c | 1,762$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.4 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 1,374$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.66 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 76c | 1,362$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.12 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 626.12$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.19 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 76c | 529$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.04 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 50c | 339.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 42c | 183.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 42c | 166.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 24c | 147.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 77.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 68c | 71.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 24c | 70.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 29c | 59.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 54c | 55.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 24c | 52.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 35c | 50.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 57c | 39.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 41c | 37.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 68c | 33.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 35c | 32.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 56c | 24.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 74c | 23.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 74c | 22.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 68c | 16.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 73c | 15.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5this page
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 0.5Over won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5Under won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 3.5Under won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 4.5Under won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IFK Göteborg (-1.5)KAA Gent won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)IFK Göteborg won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-2.5)IFK Göteborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.